National Center for Meteorology Releases Forecast for This Fall

The National Center for Meteorology (NCM) has issued a detailed report on the weather forecast in Saudi Arabia during the fall season, with focus on surface temperature and rainfall patterns. NCM's forecast is based on outputs from numerical models that simulate atmospheric dynamics and their impact on the Kingdom's climate. According to the report, current El Niño 3.4 region and Indian Ocean Dipole Index readings indicate a neutral phase. This typically translates to surface temperature and rainfall rates in the Arabian Peninsula close to their historical averages during the fall season. NCM's climate models predict above-average surface temperatures in most regions of the Kingdom this fall. The biggest temperature increases are expected in Hail, Al-Jawf, Northern Borders, and Tabuk regions where temperature may be one degree Celsius higher than those of past autumns. Other areas are expected to see smaller temperature increases. The report also outlines the expected rainfall patterns. Areas like Jazan, Najran, Aseer, and parts of Makkah and the southern parts of the Eastern and Riyadh regions are predicted to receive above-average rainfall compared to previous years. The remainder of the Kingdom is expected to experience below-average rainfall. Source: Saudi Press Agency